When lightweight champion Rafael dos Anjos pulled out of his next title defense against Connor McGregor 12 days ahead of the series, the UFC had options galore.
You see, just as the featherweight kingpin will tell you, any card headlined by the Dubliner will be a profitable bonanza. The marketing first offered the fight to Jose Aldo and Frankie Edgar, but neither answered the telephone.
Edgar had been coping with a groin injury that had prevented him from coaching for the many previous weeks, while Aldo’s coach said he was not in good enough shape conditioning-wise to select the fight on such short notice.
Former 155-pound champ Anthony Pettis was one fighter volunteering his services, joining the likes of Urijah Faber and Donald’Cowboy’ Cerrone. Even B.J. Penn needed a shot at McGregor.
Nate Diaz was more than willing when contacted from the UFC. Dana White allowed the rumors to hang in the air for many hours before determining that the interest from fans was highest for a Diaz-McGregor showdown.
McGregor had told the UFC he would fight anybody on the roster at any given weight. When Diaz’s camp suggested that getting down to 155 on brief note was too much, the UFC countered with a catchweight supply of 160 pounds. Diaz countered with 165.
Whenever the UFC known as’The Notorious,”’ he said let’s just take action at 170. Therefore, tonight’s main event for UFC 196 in the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas will be a five-rounder contested at welterweight. McGregor, the 145-pound champ, is shifting up two weight classes.
Ad Most novels opened McGregor (19-2 MMA, 7-0 UFC) at around -300, but the odds are becoming more expensive with each passing day. As of Thursday afternoon, most spots had McGregor preferred from the -450 to -500 range. Diaz was approximately +380 on the comeback (risk $100 to win $380).
Now that we’ve arrived at fight day, most places have McGregor at -500 or higher. The very best payout for Diaz overseas is at 5Dimes, which has him +425.
The complete for’over/under’ wagers is 2.5 rounds (-200 to the’under,’ +165’over’). For those gamblers wanting to shave some of the’chalk’ yet still back McGregor, the prop for him to win inside the space does not offer much help (-278 at 5Dimes).
If you want to take McGregor’s information he’ll dust Diaz in the opening round, that brace provides a +170 return. If you believe the pride of Ireland will make rapid work of Diaz, much like his 13-second demolition of Aldo, there is a prop at 5Dimes that the battle will not go 1:01 that offers a lucrative +550 return.
For McGregor to acquire by TKO/KO (in any round), the cost is -275 (risk $275 to win $100). We ought to note that Diaz has never been finished in the first round in 28 professional bouts.
In fact, Diaz (18-10 MMA, 13-8 UFC) has only been finished twice. He had been submitted by Hermes Franca at WEC 24 at the second round, along with the 209 product suffered his sole career TKO loss to Josh’The Punk’ Thomson in the next round of the April 2013 showdown. (Diaz’s corner threw in the towel)
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